Space Weather Report

The forecast calls for solar storms and rad-hard remedies

Fudge Factor

In the quaint olden days of 2011, cyber warfare risk was compared to solar flare risk. But, how to predict or better yet how to expect?

We will come back to cyber warfare as the new kinetic field of space enables the new cybernetic spatial surface. For now, let’s focus on solar flares and solar wind.

It is easy to take terrestrial weather reporting for granted, even locally. But, when solar activity occurs, that’s when the “fudge factor” is even more important to out-design for what you cannot outrun or avoid as a survival buffer during these events.

Recently, NASA and IBM released a model trained on solar data. It is reasonable to expect a “space weather report” (and others) to become essential as solar powered orbital datacenters are put into service.

So, it you consider the utility value of the half-dozen space weather reports, it is also useful to consider which commercial entities will become patrons or merely benefit from publicly funded sourcing and presentation of data. To achieve scale, there will need to be a clear anticipation for the commercialization analogy of the alleged AccuWeather and National Weather Service (NWS) terrestrial weather data licensing and distribution imbroglio.

RankAgencyUtilityWhy
1NOAA SWPCOperational SurvivalThe “Kill Switch” Trigger.
2SIDCStrategic Lifecycle ModelingThe ROI Calculator.
3ESA Space Weather (SWE)Component Engineering & HardeningThe Design Manual.
4GFZ PotsdamPrecision Orbit DeterminationThe Fuel Saver.
5NICTDownlink/Uplink IntegrityThe Customer SLA.
6Australian BoM (SWS)Southern Station TelemetryThe “Blind Spot” Fix. Literally, watch your six.

Oddly enough, NOAA SWPC is showing this message on their homepage at the moment: 😳 #HugOps

Possible, Temporary Products and Services Disruption Through 17 December, 2025 published: Wednesday, December 17, 2025 01:26 UTC SWPC products and services availability may be temporarily disrupted due to network changes through 17 December, 2025.



View this page on GitHub.

Subscribe to Hot Fudge Daily

Get the latest articles and updates delivered straight to your inbox.